Jeffrey A.Hirsch & Yale Hirsch – Stock Trader`s Almanac 2012

Description

 

A time-tested guide to stock trading market cycles

Published every year since 1968, the Stock Trader’s Almanac is a practical investment tool with a wealth of information organized in calendar format. Everyone from well-known money managers to savvy traders and investors relies upon this annual resource for its in-depth analyses and insights. The Stock Trader’s Almanac 2012 contains essential historical price information on the stock market, provides monthly and daily reminders, and highlights seasonal trading opportunities and dangers.

The Stock Trader’s Almanac 2012 is packed with timely insights and targeted analysis to help you navigate turbulent markets and beat the odds in the year ahead. This trusted guide combines over a century’s worth of data, statistics, and trends along with vital analysis you won’t get anywhere else. The 2012 edition includes a revision of the Seasonal Switching Strategy that significantly boosts returns as well as new information on the coming Super Boom. Other key seasonal and cyclical updates include pre-presidential election year cycles and perspectives, how the government manipulates the economy to stay in power, incumbent victories vs. incumbent defeats, and the market impact of the lame duck year.

• Alerts you to little-known market patterns and tendencies to help forecast market trends with accuracy and confidence
• An indispensable annual resource, trusted for over 40 years by traders and investors
• The data in theAlmanac is some of the best in the business

For its wealth of information and the authority of its sources, the Stock Trader’s Almanac stands alone as the guide to intelligent investing.

 

Table of Contents

10 2012 Strategy Calendar

12 January Almanac

14 January’s First Five Days: An “Early Warning” System

16 The Incredible January Barometer (Devised 1972): Only Seven Significant Errors in 61 Years

18 January Barometer in Graphic Form Since 1950

20 February Almanac

22 Hot January Industries Beat S&P 500 Next 11 Months

24 2012 Presidential Election Year Perspectives

26 The Second Year of Decades

28 March Almanac

30 Market Charts of Presidential Election Years

32 How to Trade Best Months Switching Strategies

34 How the Government Manipulates the Economy to Stay in Power

36 April Almanac

38 Incumbent Party Wins and Losses

40 The December Low Indicator: A Useful Prognosticating Tool

42 Down Januarys: A Remarkable Record

44 Top Performing Months Past 611/3Years: Standard & Poor’s 500 and Dow Jones Industrials

46 May Almanac

48 Best Six Months: Still An Eye-Popping Strategy

50 MACD-Timing Triples “Best Six Months” Results

52 Only Two Losses Last 7 Months of Election Years

54 June Almanac

56 Top Performing NASDAQ Months Past 401/3Years

58 Get More out of NASDAQ’s “Best Eight Months” with MACD-Timing

60 Triple Returns, Fewer Trades: Best 6 + 4-Year Cycle

62 July Almanac

64 First Month of Quarters Is the Most Bullish

66 2010 Daily Dow Point Changes

68 Don’t Sell Stocks on Monday or Friday

70 A Rally for All Seasons

72 August Almanac

74 Fifteen Year Projection

76 Aura of the Triple Witch—4th Quarter Most Bullish: Down Weeks Trigger More Weakness Week After

78 Take Advantage of Down Friday/Down Monday Warning

82 A Correction for All Seasons

84 First-Trading-Day-of-The-Month Phenomenon: Dow Gains More One Day than All Other Days

86 Market Behavior Three Days before and Three Days after Holidays

88 Market Gains More on Super-8 Days Each Month Than on All 13 Remaining Days Combined

90 October Almanac

92 Sector Seasonality: Selected Percentage Plays

94 Sector Index Seasonality Strategy Calendar

98 November Almanac

100 Fourth Quarter Market Magic

102 Trading the Thanksgiving Market

104 Most of the So-Called “January Effect” Takes Place in the Last Half of December

106 December Almanac

108 January Effect Now Starts in Mid-December

110 Wall Street’s Only Free Lunch Served before Christmas

112 If Santa Claus Should Fail to Call, Bears May Come to Broad and Wall

114 Best Investment Book of the Year: George Lindsay and the A rt of Technical Analysis;Year’s Top Investment Books

118 2012 Strategy Calendar

DIRECTORY OF TRADING PATTERNS AND DATABANK.

121 Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2012

122 Recent Dow Jones Industrials Market Probability Calendar 2012

123 S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2012

124 Recent S&P 500 Market Probability Calendar 2012

125 NASDAQ Market Probability Calendar 2012

126 Recent NASDAQ Market Probability Calendar 2012

127 Russell 1000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2012

128 Russell 2000 Index Market Probability Calendar 2012

129 Decennial Cycle: A Market Phenomenon

130 Presidential Election/Stock Market Cycle: The 178-Year Saga Continues

131 Dow Jones Industrials Bull and Bear Markets Since 1900

132 Standard & Poor’s 500 Bull and Bear Markets Since 1929/NASDAQ Composite Since 1971

133 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: January and February

134 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: March and April

135 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: May and June

136 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: July and August

137 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: September and October

138 Dow Jones Industrials 10-Year Daily Point Changes: November and December

139 A Typical Day in the Market

140 Through the Week on a Half-Hourly Basis

141 Wednesday Most Profitable Day of Week

142 NASDAQ Strongest Last 3 Days of Week

143 S&P Daily Performance Each Year Since 1952

144 NASDAQ Daily Performance Each Year Since 1971

145 Monthly Cash Inflows into S&P Stocks

146 Monthly Cash Inflows into NASDAQ Stocks

147 November, December, and January: Year’s Best Three-Month Span

148 November through June: NASDAQ’s Eight-Month Run

149 Dow Jones Industrials Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1901

150 Standard & Poor’s 500 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1930

151 NASDAQ, Russell 1000, and 2000 Annual Highs, Lows, and Closes Since 1971

152 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950

153 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Point Changes Since 1950

154 Dow Jones Industrials Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950

155 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Percent Changes Since 1950

156 Standard & Poor’s 500 Monthly Closing Prices Since 1950

157 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Percent Changes Since 1971

158 NASDAQ Composite Monthly Closing Prices Since 1971

159 Russell 1000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979

160 Russell 2000 Monthly Percent Changes and Closing Prices Since 1979

161 10 Best Days by Point and Percent

162 10 Worst Days by Point and Percent

163 10 BestWeeks by Point and Percent

164 10 WorstWeeks by Point and Percent

165 10 Best Months by Point and Percent

166 10 Worst Months by Point and Percent

167 10 Best Quarters by Point and Percent

168 10 Worst Quarters by Point and Percent

169 10 BestYears by Point and Percent

170 10 WorstYears by Point and Percent

STRATEGY PLANNING AND RECORD SECTION.

172 Portfolio at Start of 2012

173 Additional Purchases

175 Short-Term Transactions

177 Long-Term Transactions

179 Interest/Dividends Received during 2012/Brokerage Account Data 2012

180 Weekly Portfolio Price Record 2012

182 Weekly Indicator Data 2012

184 Monthly Indicator Data 2012

185 Portfolio at End of 2012

186 If You Don’t Profit from Your Investment Mistakes, Someone Else Will; Performance Record of Recommendations

187 Individual Retirement Account (IRA): Most Awesome Mass Investment Incentive Ever Devised

188 Top 300 Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs)

190 Option Trading Codes

191 G. M. Loeb’s “Battle Plan” for Investment Survival

192 G. M. Loeb’s Investment Survival Checklist

 

Author Information

Jeffrey A. Hirsch (South Nyack, NY) is president of Hirsch Organization and has worked with Yale Hirsch for over 15 years.  In 2001 he took over as president and editor. He appears frequently on CNBC, Fox Biz, Yahoo! Tech Ticker, and Bloomberg to talk about market cycles and seasonal trends.  He also edits the monthly Almanac InvestoreNewsletter, a digital subscription-based toolkit for active traders and investors.

The Hirsch Organization (South Nyack, NY) was founded by Yale Hirsch (Nyack, NY) who first published The Stock Trader’s Almanac, which provides historical information to investors, in 1967.